This page doesn't give you one. It shows plain facts from the last 30 days of Kapowo's own records, so you can check your own ideas against what really happened. Past results alone don't tell you how the next window closes. The live window does, and StrikeCall's verdict reads it for you.
Last updated: November 4, 2026, 4:31 AM ET
When the last window(s) closed the same way, how often the next window closed that same way again, or flipped.
| Situation | Seen | Next window: same way | Next window: flipped |
|---|---|---|---|
| After 1 window the same way | 6 times | 33% | 67% |
| After 2 windows in a row the same way | 1 times | 0% | 100% |
Share of windows whose close ended within these distances of the open price.
| Distance at close | Share of windows |
|---|---|
| Within $25 of the open | 0% |
| Within $50 of the open | 29% |
| Within $100 of the open | 86% |
| Hour (ET) | Windows | Closed UP |
|---|---|---|
| 3 AM ET | 4 | 50% |
| 4 AM ET | 3 | 33% |
| Hour (ET) | Windows | Closed UP |
|---|---|---|
| 4 AM ET | 3 | 33% |
| 3 AM ET | 4 | 50% |
Full hour-by-hour table on the stats page.
These are Kapowo's own records: the live Bitcoin price at the start and at the end of each 15-minute window (:00, :15, :30, :45 US Eastern), from public market prices. They are not any exchange's official settlement results, which can differ by a few dollars on very close windows.
StrikeCall is Kapowo's own product. Information only · Not financial advice · Not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi · 18+